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Friday, May 25, 2012

The Dubious Utility of the Basketball Advanced Stats

• Los "gurús" comparan a Larry Bird vs Dirk Nowitzki ?
• "Stats gurus" are comparing Larry Bird vs. Dirk Nowitzki ?

( for the English Translation= See Below )

Los "gurús de las estadísticas" están comparando a Larry Bird vs Dirk Nowitzki ? Entonces, permítanme decir que el juego de hoy se juega a un ritmo mucho más lento que el juego de los años 60 o incluso de los 80, cuando el record de todos los tiempos en puntos por partido por parte de un equipo se fijó en 126,5 (81-82 Denver Nuggets).

Con la actual expansión a 30 equipos simplemente no existe el talento que había en épocas anteriores
Esto se demuestra claramente por el muy bajo promedio de puntos por juego de 93.5 que fue "alcanzado" en el período 2003-2004, junto con el lamentable porcentaje de lanzamiento del 43.9%.
Puesto que como los porcentajes de tiro bajos de los años 60 se debieron en parte al ritmo más rápido del juego, el resultado fue un promedio mucho más alto en puntos por juego, el juego de hoy no tiene ni el ritmo de los años 60's o el lanzamiento de los grandes 80's.

Ellos están comparando a Larry Bird con Dirk Nowitzki ?
Esto demuestra la sospechosa utilidad de las estadísticas de avanzada del baloncesto moderno !

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"Stats gurus" are discussing Larry Bird vs. Dirk Nowitzki in a podcast ? Then, let me say that the actual basketball game is played at a much drawn-out rhythm than the game of the 60s or even the 80s, when the the unsurpassed and permanent high in points per game by a team was appointed at 126.5 (81-82 Denver Nuggets).

With the current amplification to 30 teams there clearly is not the talent that there was in antecedent stages.
This is shown without any doubt by the very low points per game of 93.5 that was “obtained” in 2003-2004 in addition to its gloomy shooting percentage of 43.9%.
Inasmuch as the crouched shooting percentages of the 60s was chargeable in part to the faster rhythm of the game the result was much higher averages in points per game, today's game has neither the fast rhythm of the 60s or the great shooting of the 80s.

They are comparing Larry Bird with Dirk Nowitzki ?
This demonstrates the dubious utility of the modern basketball advanced stats !

Translation & Links: eBAstats - the basketball statistics

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1 comment:

  1. The metrics that have been devised thus far bring us closer than ever to truly accurate evaluation, but in many ways they fall victim to the same problematic roadblocks that limited statistics past. Expansion of the available data set has opened the door for all kinds of new and exciting analytics, but it still feels as if we could come to some interesting conclusions by simply altering our aim.

    One possibility: What if basketball analytics could, rather than merely provide a statistical evaluation of player or team performance, help to define a player’s position ? Evaluation will always be the highest goal of the analytic community, but within the spreadsheets of the brightest analysts also lies the exciting theoretical potential to redefine the entire scheme of basketball positions.